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There is a version of the housing market story that gets told over and over, and it goes like this: prices are high, rates are high, nothing is affordable, and the only people buying are the ones with cash. That version is not wrong, exactly. It is just incomplete.
Home prices at the national level have held close to their peaks despite a sharp rise in mortgage rates. The reason is supply. A seller who bought in 2021 at a three percent rate has nowhere affordable to go if they list today, which means the correction that many analysts were expecting simply did not materialize the way the data suggested it should.
Here is what that creates for someone who has done the work before they start looking: more room to negotiate than the market’s reputation suggests. The panic buyers are gone. The buyers who showed up with emotion instead of analysis have mostly sat back down. What remains is a more functional market, even if it is not a cheap one.
Shop more than one institution, because the spread in rates and costs is real. A quarter-point difference in your interest rate adds up to tens of thousands of dollars over the life of most home loans. Lender fees vary too. Do not compare rate quotes without also comparing origination fees, points, and closing costs.
The appraisal is the lender’s check, not yours. When the appraisal comes in below contract, the deal does not automatically die, but it does require a decision. Ask your agent whether recent comparable sales support the price you are offering.
Budget two to four percent of the purchase price for closing costs, on top of your down payment. First-time buyers are sometimes surprised by how much cash is required beyond the down payment itself. Ask your lender for a Loan Estimate before you make any offers, so you can plan your cash position accurately.
Real estate is illiquid. Transaction costs, agent commissions, and closing fees mean you typically need three to five years just to break even on a purchase. None of that means do not buy. It means be honest about your time horizon before you commit.
Real estate rewards preparation more than it rewards timing. Waiting for a better market is a reasonable position only if your personal situation supports it, otherwise you are just paying rent while prices hold. Start by browsing current homes for sale and market resources to build a realistic picture of your options.
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